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The Chicago Cubs head to San Francisco with a commanding 2-0 lead over the Giants. But waiting for them in the city by the bay is one of the best postseason pitchers in baseball history -- Madison Bumgarner. Can Bumgarner pitch the Giants back into the series or will the Cubs continue their march through the postseason?Go inside the numbers and matchups that will decide tonights game, and then vote for which team will win at the bottom of the page.Inside the pitching matchupWhen Jake Arrieta is on the mound: There arent too many pitchers who go 18-8 with a 3.10 ERA and feel like it was a bit of letdown. Arrieta had a 1.74 ERA through June 22, dominating like he did in 2015, but he had control issues after that and posted a 4.44 ERA over his final 16 starts with 41 walks in 99.1 innings. In his final start, he allowed 10 hits and 7 runs in five innings to the Pirates. Even as he struggled in the second half, producing hard contact against him wasnt easy. Batters hit just .213 vs. Arrieta over those 16 starts. He did seem to lose the feel of that slider, which was so unhittable last year and early this season, as batters hit .271/.377/.441 against it with a strikeout rate of 15.9 percent compared to 26.4 percent in 2015. Last year, batters hit .119 with a 43 percent strikeout rate against his curveball; over these 16 starts the numbers are .279 and 31.2 percent.Arrietas fastball is still a tough pitch, averaging 93.8 mph with some late sink to it. Against left-handers, he tends to work the outer third of the strike zone, and he also works up and down the zone. With three lefties in the pen, Joe Maddon will have the luxury of a quick hook and mixing and matching out of the bullpen. -- David SchoenfieldWhen Madison Bumgarner is on the mound: The Bumgarner legend continued to grow with another shutout in the wild-card game. His career postseason record is now 8-3 with a 1.94 ERA and 6-1, 0.79 over his past eight starts and one relief appearance covering 68.1 innings. So everyone wants to put this game in the win column for the Giants before its even been played.One thing to point out: His past four postseason outings -- one against the Mets, three against the Royals -- came against two lineups weak against left-handed pitching. The Mets had three lefties who cant hit lefties and the 2014 Royals featured a lineup where its best hitters (Eric Hosmer, Alex Gordon, Mike Moustakas) were left-handed and the team hit just 31 home runs all season against lefties. Those clubs were ripe for a lefty to eat them up. This Cubs lineup is a much tougher proposition, ranking second in the majors in OPS against lefties.Bumgarner throws a four-seamer up in the zone and tries to get it inside to righties. He throws his cutter/slider about a third of the time and a curveball about 15 percent of the time. In the wild-card game, he threw his fastball 58 percent of the time -- his fourth-highest percentage of the season -- and threw his curveball at the second-highest rate. Right-handed batters hit just .150 against the curveball, so lets see if Bumgarner sticks with that pitch as his primary breaking ball, considering how effective it was against the Mets. -- SchoenfieldPlayer in the spotlightHunter Pence: We love the hair and the beard and the scooter and the energy, but the dirty little secret is that Pence has been a lousy postseason hitter, even as the Giants won titles in 2012 and 2014. Hes 2-for-12 this postseason, and in 36 playoff games with the Giants, hes hitting .264 with 2 home runs and 12 RBIs. -- ESPN.comWhat will decide tonights gameMadison Bumgarner threw his slider just 12 percent of the time in Wednesdays wild-card game, his lowest rate in a start since September of 2010, and Mets hitters didnt miss one of their swings against it. In two starts against the Cubs this season, he threw 36 percent sliders and hitters went 3-for-22 with 7 Ks in ABs ending in a Bumgarner slider (all singles and no hard-hit balls). -- ESPN Stats & InfoChoosing sides: Who will win?It seemed like the moment Bumgarner shut down the New York Mets in the wild-card game, and his teams matchup with the Cubs was set, everyone was penciling in a win in Game 3 for the Giants. It mattered little Bumgarner would be going up against Cy Young winner Jake Arrieta as baseball observers rightly saw the Cubs as a big underdog. They are, and theyll lose Game 3, not because Arrieta will blow up, but simply because the Giants have too much pride to get swept with their ace on the mound. -- Jesse RogersIf you want to be a pessimist, you could say that the Cubs are fortunate to be up 2-0, mostly because their big bats have yet to get going. Of course, that could also be looked at as reason for optimism. Still, the road to Valhalla is rocky and winding. (Or so Ive heard.) We dont know what were going to get out of Jake Arrieta these days, but with Madison Bumgarner, all you have to do is look at a calendar. Im going with San Francisco in this one. -- Bradford DoolittleLets not even rely entirely on Madison Bumgarner and his 23-inning scoreless streak in the postseason. Thats too easy. Lets start with Jake Arrieta, who hasnt been the same guy since mid-August, delivering a 4.74 ERA in his past eight starts. His last two in the playoffs last year werent so great either. He allowed 8 combined runs and didnt make it out of the sixth inning either time. Bumgarner is on regular rest coming off his shutout in the Wild Card Game in New York, and this time the noise will be for when the Giants do something good, not the Cubs. Arrieta will be better, but not good enough. Anthony Rizzo has done nothing in this series and he wont enjoy facing Bumgarner slinging it from the left side. The Giants will manage just enough offense to stay alive and extend the series to Tuesday. -- Mark SaxonWhere the series standsThe Giants need a gem from their ace, and then anything can happen. Game 4 would feature John Lackey versus Matt Moore, and then the Giants would go back to Johnny Cueto in Game 5. But can they scratch across enough runs to win three in a row? They have 17 hits in three playoff games so far (granted, theyve faced some tough pitchers). But win these two at home and the Cubs will have all the pressure in a Game 5 at Wrigley. -- Schoenfield Fake USA Soccer Jerseys . The FA rejected Wilsheres appeal that the length of his punishment was "clearly excessive" and said Thursday his suspension begins with immediate effect. He will miss league matches against Chelsea on Monday and West Ham on Dec. USA Soccer Store . Miller finished in two minutes, 6.09 seconds, one day before the first medal race on the Alpine schedule. The 36-year-old American also turned in the top time in Thursdays opening training session. https://www.cheapusasoccer.com/ . Westbrook has missed 27 games since having a procedure on Dec. 27 to deal with swelling in his injured right knee — the third operation on the knee in nine months. Wholesale USA Soccer Jerseys . The 43-year-old closer, in his 19th and final big league season, has said hed like to play the outfield. Yankees manager Joe Girardi says hes thinking about allowing Rivera to do it this weekend, when the Yankees finish their season with a three-game series at the Houston Astros. USA Soccer Gear . -- Quarterback Will Finch threw for 252 yards and three touchdowns, and Yannick Harou rushed in two scores as the No. CLEVELAND -- Josh Tomlin baffled Blue Jays batters for nearly six innings and Andrew Miller blew them away as the Cleveland Indians edged Toronto 2-1 on Saturday to take 2-0 lead in the AL Championship Series.Carlos Santana homered off 20-game winner J.A. Happ and Francisco Lindor had an RBI single for the Indians, who have won five straight postseason games for the first time in their 116-year history.An afterthought in August, Tomlin has emerged as an unlikely October star for the Indians. He allowed one run and three hits in 5 2/3 innings before Cleveland manager Terry Francona called on his bullpen led by the magnificent Miller, who is making the Blue Jays look like Little Leaguers.The lanky left-hander struck out the side in the seventh, two more in the eighth and has 10 strikeouts in 3 2/3 innings in the series. He has not allowed a run in 16 career postseason innings.Cody Allen struck out Edwin Encarnacion and Jose Bautista in a perfect ninth for the save, finishing a three-hitter. The Indians had never been up 2-0 in four previous ALCS trips.After bludgeoning Texas in the AL Division Series by hitting eight homers and scoring 22 runs, Toronto has one run and 10 hits -- eight singles and a pair of doubles -- in two games against the Indians.Bautista is 0 for 6 in the series with five strikeouts and in a 0-for-14 postseason tailspin. The only bat flipping Joey Bats has done is back into the rack.The series heads north to Torontos raucous Rogers Centre for Game 3 on Monday with Clevelands Trevor Bauer slated to face Marcus Stroman.Tomlin originally was scheduled to pitch Game 3, but the right-hander was pushed up after Trevor cut his right pinkie while repairing one of the drones he enjoys flying as a hobby. The 31-year-old Tomlin pitched himself out of the rotation by going 0-5 with a 11.48 ERA in August, but injuries to Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar gave him another chance and hes made the most of it.Tomlin, who ignored taunting Boston fans to close out the Red Sox in Game 3 of the ALDS, relied on his curveball to keep the Blue jays guessing.With some help from Happ, the Indians took a 2-1 lead in the third on Lindors RBI single.Rajai Davis reached on a fielders choice, stole second and took third when Happs pitch bounced in the dirt and rolled a few feet away froom catcher Russell Martin.dddddddddddd One out later, Lindor lined his single to center for this third RBI in two games, another clutch moment by a 22-year-old with the presence of a 10-year veteran.Tomlin had the Blue Jays off-balance and guessing with an assortment of breaking pitches -- nothing harder than 75 mph -- before Toronto finally pushed across its first run of the series to tie it 1-1 in the third.Darwin Barney, starting at second in place of the injured Devon Travis, singled with one out, moved up on a groundout and scored on Josh Donaldsons opposite-field double, his sixth of the postseason.Tomlin walked Encarnacion, and with reliever Jeff Manship up in Clevelands bullpen just in case, he struck out Bautista, who remains in a funk.Santana gave the Indians a 1-0 lead in the second with a lined homer that barely cleared the 19-foot-high wall in left. The switch-hitter, who batted leadoff in Game 1, yanked a 1-1 pitch for his first postseason homer and the first allowed by Happ in five starts.TRAINERS ROOMTravis is done for the postseason with a right knee injury he aggravated during Game 1. After missing two games in the ALDS with a bruised knee, the Blue Jays put him on the roster but he jarred his knee while covering first base in the fifth inning and left in pain. Toronto was granted a roster substitution by Major League Baseball and replaced Travis with first baseman Justin Smoak. Travis would not be eligible for the World Series if the Blue jays advance.UP NEXTBlue Jays: Stroman allowed one run in both of regular-season starts -- no decisions- against Cleveland, posting a 1.29 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 14 innings. He struck out six over 6 2/3 innings at Rogers Centre on July 1, and had nine Ks in 7 1/3 innings on Aug. 21 in Cleveland.Indians: Bauer was superb in two outings against Toronto, going 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA and 16 strikeouts. Scheduled to start the following day, he came on in relief and pitched five scoreless innings in Clevelands 2-1, 19-inning win July 1, the last win in the Indians franchise-record 14-game streak. Bauer struck out a career-high 13 in an eight-inning no-decision at home against the Blue Jays on Aug. 19. ' ' '
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